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2017-10-28 15:35:34
COURNOT, A.A.
Exposition de la theorie des chances et des probabilities
Paris: Librairie de L. Hachette, 1843. FIRST EDITION. With numerous tables and a folding plate. Contemporary red pebbled cloth, stamp of the Lycée Impérial de St. Quentin (all gilt faded) on the front cover, gilt spine in compartments; silk moire endpapers, minor spotting throughout, overall a very good copy. First edition of Cournot's popular and successful work on the theory of chance occurrences. Cournot's work is "important in the history of the calculus of probability, since it examines in an original way the interpretation and foundations of this calculus and its applications. According to Cournot, occurrences in our world are always determined by a cause. But in the universe there are independent causal chains. If, at a given point in time and space, two of these chains have a common link, this coincidence constitutes the fortuitous character of the event thus engendered. Consequently, there would be an objective chance occurrence that would nevertheless have a cause. This seeming paradox would be no reflection of our ignorance" (DSB). Cournot interprets values of objective occurrences as a degree of what he calls "physical probability." He also insisted on the necessary distinction between objective and subjective probability (depending upon ignorance and resting upon the consideration of events that are deemed equiprobable). He also was able to show clearly the importance of the applications of the calculus of probability to the scientific description and explanation of human acts. Cournot (1801-1877) was a French philosopher and mathematician who a … [Click Below for Full Description]
Bookseller: B & L Rootenberg Rare Books, ABAA [Sherman Oaks, CA, U.S.A.]
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